Free daily MLB projections
Every day of the MLB season, FullCountProps publishes free batter-by-batter projections for the full slate — home run, hit, strikeout and walk probabilities for every hitter in today's lineups, shown next to the lines posted at major U.S. sportsbooks. Subscribe for the free slate email, or create a free account — about 10 seconds, no credit card — for full access to every MLB projection tool on the site. The top of tonight's board is open to everyone.
Projections frozen before first pitch
Probabilities refresh through the day as official MLB lineups post, then freeze at first pitch — what you saw before the game is exactly what gets graded after it. That pre-game snapshot keeps each day's projection separate from what happened on the field. Browse the daily player projections directly.
Live scores and stats
A live scoreboard with box scores, projected and confirmed lineups, standings, league leaders, and player and team profiles.
Matchup research tools
Batter vs. pitcher breakdowns, side-by-side player comparisons, with-or-without-you (WOWY) splits, a what-if lineup simulator, and the Diamond Draft picking game.
How MLB projections are modeled and graded
The model starts from each batter's recent form and season-long track record, then adjusts for the opposing starting pitcher, the ballpark and where the batter sits in the projected lineup. The same code runs for every player, every day — nothing is hand-picked. When a game starts its numbers are frozen, and when it ends they are graded against the real box score. Hit rates and calibration are published on the public accuracy page, misses included. Read exactly how the projections work, or follow a worked example that traces one prop from matchup to final call.
MLB research for fans and fantasy managers
FullCountProps is an entertainment and research tool for fans, fantasy managers, and stat-heads who want useful context before today's games. It is not a sportsbook — nothing here is betting advice, no wagers can be placed on this site, and it is intended for adults 21 and over. The model's full track record stays public, wins and misses alike.
Why this MLB projection project stays free
Everything on FullCountProps is free and nothing sits behind a lock. If the projections, live scores or research tools make the season more fun, tips are welcomed — they help cover the data feeds and servers that keep the numbers running every day. Questions, bug reports and feature ideas are welcome too, through the contact page.