About FullCountProps
MLB player projections, home run odds, and matchup research — built on a transparent model whose accuracy you can check any day.
What this site does
FullCountProps produces daily model-based probabilities for MLB player outcomes — most notably home run and hit odds for every batter in today's lineups — alongside live scores, lineups, standings, player and team stats, and game predictions.
Where sportsbook lines are available, we show them next to the model's numbers so you can see where they agree and where they differ.
How the projections work
Projections combine recent player performance, opposing pitcher profiles, park factors, and lineup context. Every graded prediction is recorded, and the results — hit rates, calibration, and comparisons against market lines — are published on the Accuracy page. We never rewrite history: predictions are captured before games start and graded against what actually happened. For the full pipeline — data sources, update cadence, grading, and model versioning — see How the Model Works.
Responsible use
FullCountProps is for entertainment and informational purposes only. It is not a sportsbook and does not accept wagers. Nothing here is betting advice. If you choose to bet, do so legally and responsibly — see our Responsible Gaming page. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.