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Cleveland Guardians — Predictions Today

American League · American League Central · Progressive Field · 2026-08-06

How the Cleveland Guardians prediction is built

On every Cleveland Guardians game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected CLE lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.

Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
vs New York Mets
Progressive Field · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Nathaniel Lowe #4 +801 (11.1%)
Jo Adell #5 +880 (10.2%)
Chase DeLauter #2 +942 (9.6%)
Jo Adell #3 +987 (9.2%)
Travis Bazzana #5 +1105 (8.3%)
Petey Halpin #7 +1182 (7.8%)
Patrick Bailey #8 +1270 (7.3%)
Brayan Rocchio #6 +1349 (6.9%)
Steven Kwan #1 +1983 (4.8%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each CLE bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.

Kept honest

Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.

See today's win probabilities →
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Cleveland Guardians home run odds today — every projected bat MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game Full Cleveland Guardians stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.