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Seattle Mariners — Predictions Today

American League · American League West · T-Mobile Park · 2026-08-06

How the Seattle Mariners prediction is built

On every Seattle Mariners game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected SEA lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.

Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
vs Detroit Tigers
T-Mobile Park · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Dominic Canzone #3 +733 (12.0%)
Julio Rodríguez #4 +826 (10.8%)
Randy Arozarena #2 +900 (10.0%)
Cole Young #1 +1011 (9.0%)
Cal Raleigh #5 +1011 (9.0%)
Mitch Garver #7 +1063 (8.6%)
Weston Wilson #8 +1076 (8.5%)
Colt Emerson #9 +1182 (7.8%)
Josh Naylor #6 +1567 (6.0%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each SEA bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.

Kept honest

Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.

See today's win probabilities →
Keep exploring
Seattle Mariners home run odds today — every projected bat MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game Full Seattle Mariners stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.