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Pittsburgh Pirates — Predictions Today
National League · National League Central · PNC Park · 2026-08-06
How the Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is built
On every Pittsburgh Pirates game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected PIT lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.
Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
at Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Brandon Lowe #2
+658 (13.2%)
Esmerlyn Valdez #4
+669 (13.0%)
Endy Rodríguez #7
+931 (9.7%)
Spencer Horwitz #5
+953 (9.5%)
Bryan Reynolds #3
+1011 (9.0%)
Jacob Gonzalez #8
+1036 (8.8%)
Jake Mangum #1
+1513 (6.2%)
Nick Gonzales #6
+1752 (5.4%)
Jared Triolo #9
+2173 (4.4%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each PIT bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.
Kept honest
Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.
See today's win probabilities →Keep exploring
Pittsburgh Pirates home run odds today — every projected bat
MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works
Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game
Full Pittsburgh Pirates stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.