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Philadelphia Phillies — Predictions Today

National League · National League East · Citizens Bank Park · 2026-08-06

How the Philadelphia Phillies prediction is built

On every Philadelphia Phillies game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected PHI lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.

Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
vs Washington Nationals
Citizens Bank Park · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Kyle Schwarber #1 +211 (32.2%)
Bryce Harper #3 +298 (25.1%)
Brandon Marsh #6 +410 (19.6%)
Trea Turner #2 +471 (17.5%)
Alec Bohm #5 +549 (15.4%)
J.T. Realmuto #7 +614 (14.0%)
Bryson Stott #8 +675 (12.9%)
Luis Arraez #4 +770 (11.5%)
Justin Crawford #9 +942 (9.6%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each PHI bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.

Kept honest

Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.

See today's win probabilities →
Keep exploring
Philadelphia Phillies home run odds today — every projected bat MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game Full Philadelphia Phillies stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.