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Philadelphia Phillies — Predictions Today
National League · National League East · Citizens Bank Park · 2026-08-06
How the Philadelphia Phillies prediction is built
On every Philadelphia Phillies game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected PHI lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.
Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
vs Washington Nationals
Citizens Bank Park · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Kyle Schwarber #1
+211 (32.2%)
Bryce Harper #3
+298 (25.1%)
Brandon Marsh #6
+410 (19.6%)
Trea Turner #2
+471 (17.5%)
Alec Bohm #5
+549 (15.4%)
J.T. Realmuto #7
+614 (14.0%)
Bryson Stott #8
+675 (12.9%)
Luis Arraez #4
+770 (11.5%)
Justin Crawford #9
+942 (9.6%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each PHI bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.
Kept honest
Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.
See today's win probabilities →Keep exploring
Philadelphia Phillies home run odds today — every projected bat
MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works
Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game
Full Philadelphia Phillies stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.