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Chicago Cubs — Predictions Today

National League · National League Central · Wrigley Field · 2026-08-06

How the Chicago Cubs prediction is built

On every Chicago Cubs game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected CHC lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.

Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Wrigley Field · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Pete Crow-Armstrong #1 +614 (14.0%)
Seiya Suzuki #2 +809 (11.0%)
Ian Happ #5 +910 (9.9%)
Michael Busch #3 +1011 (9.0%)
Dansby Swanson #8 +1049 (8.7%)
Alex Bregman #4 +1349 (6.9%)
Pedro Ramírez #7 +1393 (6.7%)
Miguel Amaya #9 +1567 (6.0%)
Nico Hoerner #6 +1752 (5.4%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each CHC bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.

Kept honest

Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.

See today's win probabilities →
Keep exploring
Chicago Cubs home run odds today — every projected bat MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game Full Chicago Cubs stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.