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Boston Red Sox — Predictions Today
American League · American League East · Fenway Park · 2026-08-06
How the Boston Red Sox prediction is built
On every Boston Red Sox game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected BOS lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.
Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
vs Chicago White Sox
Fenway Park · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Willson Contreras #4
+385 (20.6%)
Wilyer Abreu #3
+390 (20.4%)
Jarren Duran #7
+513 (16.3%)
Ceddanne Rafaela #2
+517 (16.2%)
Nick Sogard #1
+599 (14.3%)
Masataka Yoshida #5
+625 (13.8%)
Caleb Durbin #6
+646 (13.4%)
Andruw Monasterio #8
+706 (12.4%)
Connor Wong #9
+890 (10.1%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each BOS bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.
Kept honest
Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.
See today's win probabilities →Keep exploring
Boston Red Sox home run odds today — every projected bat
MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works
Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game
Full Boston Red Sox stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.