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Boston Red Sox — Predictions Today

American League · American League East · Fenway Park · 2026-08-06

How the Boston Red Sox prediction is built

On every Boston Red Sox game day, FullCountProps simulates the full matchup 2,000 times — the projected BOS lineup against the opposing probable starter, bullpen behind him, in that day's ballpark. Out of those runs come a win probability for each side, a most-likely final score, and a projected total. No gut picks and no narrative adjustments; the inputs are documented on the methodology page.

Today's Matchup — 2026-08-06
vs Chicago White Sox
Fenway Park · Preview
The simulated win probability and projected final score for this game are on the predictions board.
Projected lineup — HR odds today
Willson Contreras #4 +385 (20.6%)
Wilyer Abreu #3 +390 (20.4%)
Jarren Duran #7 +513 (16.3%)
Ceddanne Rafaela #2 +517 (16.2%)
Nick Sogard #1 +599 (14.3%)
Masataka Yoshida #5 +625 (13.8%)
Caleb Durbin #6 +646 (13.4%)
Andruw Monasterio #8 +706 (12.4%)
Connor Wong #9 +890 (10.1%)
Model HR probability with its fair-odds equivalent for each BOS bat. Tap a name for that batter's full page.

Kept honest

Model outputs are captured before first pitch and graded after the final out — wins and misses alike live on the accuracy page, never edited after the fact.

See today's win probabilities →
Keep exploring
Boston Red Sox home run odds today — every projected bat MLB game predictions & score simulations — how it works Today's MLB home run odds — every batter, every game Full Boston Red Sox stats & roster
Model-based projections and sportsbook odds shown for informational purposes only. Not betting advice. Not a sportsbook. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.