MLB Projections Graded — August 4, 2026
The Blast Board below was frozen before first pitch on August 4, 2026 and graded against the final box scores. Every pick shown — hits and misses.
Board picks
25
Homered
1
Board hit rate
4%
Directional accuracy
70%
The board, as frozen
#1 Hunter Goodman COL31% HR MISS
#2 Mickey Moniak COL28% HR HIT
#3 Griffin Conine MIA26% HR MISS
#4 Shohei Ohtani LAD24% HR MISS
#5 Miguel Vargas CWS24% HR MISS
#6 Munetaka Murakami CWS24% HR MISS
#7 Mike Trout LAA23% HR MISS
#8 Kyle Stowers MIA23% HR MISS
#9 Jonah Heim ATH23% HR MISS
#10 Zach Neto LAA23% HR MISS
#11 Tyler Soderstrom ATH23% HR MISS
#12 Ben Rice NYY23% HR MISS
#13 Max Muncy LAD23% HR MISS
#14 Jordan Walker STL22% HR MISS
#15 Owen Caissie MIA22% HR MISS
#16 Pete Alonso BAL22% HR MISS
#17 Randal Grichuk CWS21% HR MISS
#18 Heriberto Hernández MIA21% HR MISS
#19 Luis García Jr. NYY21% HR MISS
#20 Gunnar Henderson BAL20% HR MISS
#21 Joe Mack MIA20% HR MISS
#22 Yordan Alvarez HOU20% HR MISS
#23 JJ Bleday CIN20% HR MISS
#24 Colson Montgomery CWS20% HR MISS
#25 Jorge Soler LAA19% HR MISS
Across 1004 graded batter props (HR, hit, strikeout, walk) frozen for August 4, 2026 on model prop-v2, the favored side was right 70% of the time.
See the full public accuracy record →Probabilities are model output frozen at first pitch, shown for transparency — not betting advice. HR credit follows the box score; corrections are append-only.